You are going down a jungle trail when you hear a stir in the undergrowth. A twinge of fear grips you. Another rustling sound sends you running down the path as fast as you can. Why did you do it? You thought some animal, possibly a predator, was about to spring out at you. However, the rustling was generated by a gust of wind. You created a "false positive" mistake. <br>
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Later, you follow the same path and notice a rustle in the undergrowth. "Just a gust of wind," you tell yourself as you proceed down the trail, only to be smacked by a leopard. You made a "false negative" error, which has catastrophic implications. <br>
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We learn to notice patterns at a young age, and these patterns may or may not be relevant. It may be prudent to treat all strange events as potentially life-threatening until our experience with them demonstrates otherwise. <br>
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False positive errors are common in everyday life, sometimes producing bad outcomes. The parent who says “I do not wish my child to be vaccinated against measles because there is a risk of brain damage” is not evaluating the risk involved in contracting measles at a later date. Comparing risks shows that the much higher risk of catching measles with a devastating outcome far outweighs the miniscule risk involved in vaccination. <br>
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Identifying false positive errors is important in medicine because:
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A
Patterns in disease are difficult to identity
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B
The risks in vaccination are very high
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C
Brain damage may be difficult to observe
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D
Inappropriate treatment may be prescribed