1) intermittent daily return = ln (day's price ÷ previous day's price) <br>
2) drift = average daily return - (variance ÷ 2) <br>
3) random value = standard deviation * NORMSINV(RAND() <br>
4) next day's price = today's price * e ^ (drift + random value) <br>
<br>
The likelihood that the actual return will be between the most likely ("anticipated") rate and one standard deviation is 68%, two standard deviations is 95%, and three standard deviations are 99.7%.
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A
Normalization
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B
Tell me about yourself
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C
Rajapriya Sambandam
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D
Monte Carlo simulation