Watson-Glaser Critical Thinking Appraisal Assessing Probability of Inferences Questions and Answers 3

Question 1

A company's sales increased 15% in Q1 but fell 8% in Q2. Inference: The company's annual sales will be lower than last year.

Accepted Answer

Insufficient Data

Answer

Without Q3 and Q4 data, we cannot determine whether full-year sales will end up higher or lower than last year.

Question 2

All employees at Firm X received a performance bonus last December. Marcus works at Firm X. Inference: Marcus received a performance bonus last December.

Accepted Answer

True

Answer

Since every employee received the bonus and Marcus is an employee of Firm X, this inference follows with certainty.

Question 3

A survey showed 70% of customers who used Product X were satisfied. Inference: Most customers who purchase Product X will be satisfied.

Accepted Answer

Probably True

Answer

Seventy percent constitutes a majority, and survey data is a reasonable predictor, making this inference probably but not certainly true.

Question 4

Unemployment in City Y dropped from 9% to 5% over three years. Inference: The mayor implemented effective economic policies.

Accepted Answer

Insufficient Data

Answer

The drop could stem from national trends, new industry arrivals, or other factors unrelated to the mayor's specific policies.

Question 5

A restaurant received three consecutive one-star reviews this week. Inference: The restaurant's food quality has declined.

Accepted Answer

Insufficient Data

Answer

The reviews may reflect service, pricing, or atmosphere issues, and we have no direct evidence about food quality specifically.

Watson-Glaser Critical Thinking Appraisal Practice Test

Watson-Glaser Critical Thinking Appraisal Practice Test

Watson-Glaser Critical Thinking Appraisal Assessing Probability of Inferences Questions and Answers 3