Watson-Glaser Critical Thinking Appraisal Watson-Glaser Critical Thinking Appraisal Assessing Probability of Inferences Questions and Answers 2

Question 1

A study found that employees who participate in regular team-building exercises report higher job satisfaction.
Based on this information, what is the probability of the following inference: Team-building exercises directly cause increased job satisfaction.

Accepted Answer

Insufficient Data

Answer

True

Answer

Probably True

Answer

Probably False

Question 2

A city implemented a new public transit system last year. Since then, traffic congestion during rush hours has decreased by 15%. What is the probability of the inference: The new transit system is responsible for the reduction in traffic congestion.

Accepted Answer

Probably True

Answer

True

Answer

Insufficient Data

Answer

Probably False

Question 3

Research indicates that 80% of successful entrepreneurs read at least one book per month. From this, what is the probability of the inference: Reading frequently will make a person a successful entrepreneur.

Accepted Answer

Probably False

Answer

True

Answer

Probably True

Answer

False

Question 4

A hospital reported that patients who received a new experimental drug showed a 40% faster recovery rate compared to those on standard treatment. What is the probability of the inference: The experimental drug is more effective than the standard treatment.

Accepted Answer

Probably True

Answer

True

Answer

Insufficient Data

Answer

Probably False

Question 5

In a survey of 500 college students, 70% said they prefer online learning to in-person classes. What is the probability of the inference: The majority of all college students in the United States prefer online learning.

Accepted Answer

Insufficient Data

Answer

True

Answer

Probably True

Answer

Probably False

Question 6

A company's quarterly earnings have increased for eight consecutive quarters. What is the probability of the inference: The company's earnings will increase again next quarter.

Accepted Answer

Probably True

Answer

True

Answer

Insufficient Data

Answer

Probably False