PMI-RMP Full Practice Test 3 — Questions and Answers
Question 1: A Monte Carlo simulation is most commonly used during which risk management process?
- Identify Risks
- Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis
- Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis (Correct answer)
- Plan Risk Responses
Correct answer: Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation is a quantitative technique used to model the combined effect of risks numerically.
Question 2: What does a tornado diagram primarily display in sensitivity analysis?
- The schedule critical path
- The relative influence of individual variables on the outcome (Correct answer)
- The probability of project completion
- The cumulative cost over time
Correct answer: The relative influence of individual variables on the outcome
A tornado diagram ranks variables by how much each influences the project outcome, showing the most impactful first.
Question 3: Expected monetary value (EMV) of a risk is calculated by multiplying which two factors?
- Impact and urgency
- Probability and monetary impact (Correct answer)
- Cost and schedule variance
- Reserve and contingency
Correct answer: Probability and monetary impact
EMV equals the probability of a risk occurring multiplied by its monetary impact.
Question 4: In a decision tree analysis, a node represented by a square typically indicates what?
- A chance (probabilistic) event
- A decision point (Correct answer)
- The end payoff
- A risk trigger
Correct answer: A decision point
In decision trees, square nodes represent decisions while circular nodes represent chance events.
Question 5: A risk has an EMV of -$10,000. A proposed response costs $3,000 and is expected to eliminate the risk entirely. What is the net benefit of the response?
- $3,000
- $7,000 (Correct answer)
- $10,000
- $13,000
Correct answer: $7,000
Avoiding a -$10,000 expected loss for a $3,000 cost yields a net benefit of $7,000.
Question 6: What does the P80 value from a quantitative cost risk analysis represent?
- The cost with an 80% chance of being exceeded
- The cost with an 80% chance of not being exceeded (Correct answer)
- The 80th most likely cost outcome
- An 80% contingency reserve
Correct answer: The cost with an 80% chance of not being exceeded
P80 is the cost level that there is an 80% probability the actual cost will be at or below.
Question 7: Quantitative risk analysis is most justified on which type of project?
- Small, low-complexity projects
- Large or complex projects where overall risk exposure must be quantified (Correct answer)
- Projects with no identified risks
- Projects already in closing
Correct answer: Large or complex projects where overall risk exposure must be quantified
Quantitative analysis adds the most value on large or complex projects where numeric risk exposure informs decisions and reserves.
A Monte Carlo simulation is most commonly used during which risk management process?