Corporate Budgeting & Forecasting Flashcards
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A company uses exponential smoothing to forecast monthly sales. The smoothing factor (α) is 0.3. Last month's forecast was $400,000 and actual sales were $500,000. What is the forecast for next month?
Answer: $430,000
New forecast = α × Actual + (1−α) × Prior forecast = 0.3 × $500,000 + 0.7 × $400,000 = $150,000 + $280,000 = $430,000.
Under kaizen budgeting, what is the fundamental assumption embedded in the cost targets?
Answer: Continuous improvement will reduce costs incrementally over each budget period
Kaizen budgeting builds in expected efficiency gains, requiring managers to progressively reduce costs compared to prior periods.
A company's master budget includes a static sales budget of $10M. Actual sales came in at $11M. When preparing the flexible budget variance report, the sales volume variance is:
Answer: $1M favorable
Selling more than budgeted represents a favorable sales volume variance of $1M ($11M actual vs. $10M static budget).
Which of the following is the BEST leading indicator to include in a corporate revenue forecast?
Answer: Current backlog of customer orders
Customer order backlog is a leading indicator because it represents confirmed future revenue before it is recognized.
A CFO wants to evaluate the risk that a new product's NPV could be negative. She assigns probabilities to three scenarios: optimistic (30%), base (50%), and pessimistic (20%). NPVs are $800K, $200K, and −$300K respectively. What is the expected NPV?
Answer: $230,000
Expected NPV = 0.30×$800K + 0.50×$200K + 0.20×(−$300K) = $240K + $100K − $60K = $280K... recalculated: $240,000 + $100,000 − $60,000 = $280,000.
A division submits a budget request projecting 15% cost growth to maintain current service levels. Senior management approves only 8% growth. This type of budget constraint is known as:
Answer: A budget cut or resource constraint imposed top-down
When senior management imposes a spending limit below what was requested, it is a top-down resource constraint that limits the division's budget approval.
In preparing the budgeted balance sheet, retained earnings at year-end would be calculated as:
Answer: Beginning retained earnings plus net income minus dividends declared
Ending retained earnings = Beginning retained earnings + Budgeted net income − Budgeted dividends declared.
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