Credit Risk Management Credit Risk Management MCQ 4 — Questions and Answers
Question 1: Under IFRS 9, which stage classification applies to financial assets that have experienced a significant increase in credit risk since origination but have not yet defaulted?
- Stage 1
- Stage 2 (Correct answer)
- Stage 3
- Stage 4
Correct answer: Stage 2
Stage 2 under IFRS 9 applies to assets with a significant increase in credit risk, requiring lifetime expected credit loss provisioning.
Question 2: A borrower's Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) is 0.85. What does this indicate for a lender?
- The borrower generates 85% more cash flow than needed to service debt
- The borrower cannot cover debt service from operating cash flows, increasing default risk (Correct answer)
- The borrower has strong liquidity reserves
- The borrower's assets exceed liabilities by 85%
Correct answer: The borrower cannot cover debt service from operating cash flows, increasing default risk
A DSCR below 1.0 means operating income is insufficient to cover debt payments, signaling elevated credit risk.
Question 3: Which statistical model estimates the probability of default by regressing binary default outcomes against borrower characteristics?
- Linear regression
- Logistic regression (Correct answer)
- Moving average model
- Principal component analysis
Correct answer: Logistic regression
Logistic regression models the probability of a binary outcome (default/non-default) as a function of borrower financial variables.
Question 4: In a collateralized lending arrangement, 'haircut' refers to:
- The fee charged by the custodian for holding collateral
- The percentage reduction applied to the market value of collateral to determine its lending value (Correct answer)
- The interest rate spread above LIBOR charged on secured loans
- The maximum loan-to-value ratio allowed by regulation
Correct answer: The percentage reduction applied to the market value of collateral to determine its lending value
A haircut reduces the accepted value of collateral below its market value to buffer against price volatility and forced-sale risk.
Question 5: What is the key distinction between 'incurred loss' (IAS 39) and 'expected loss' (IFRS 9) provisioning models?
- Incurred loss provisions are larger than expected loss provisions
- Expected loss provisions are recognized earlier — at origination — rather than waiting for a loss event to occur (Correct answer)
- Expected loss provisioning applies only to sovereign exposures
- Incurred loss models require more frequent credit reviews
Correct answer: Expected loss provisions are recognized earlier — at origination — rather than waiting for a loss event to occur
IFRS 9's expected loss model requires banks to provision for credit losses from day one, whereas IAS 39 required a triggering loss event first.
Question 6: A bank holds a $10M loan exposure with a 40% LGD. If the borrower defaults, what is the expected loss assuming a 5% PD?
- $200,000 (Correct answer)
- $400,000
- $2,000,000
- $500,000
Correct answer: $200,000
Expected Loss = PD × LGD × EAD = 5% × 40% × $10M = $200,000.
Question 7: Which credit risk transfer mechanism allows a bank to buy protection on a basket of reference entities, where the protection seller pays out only on the first default in the basket?
- Total Return Swap
- First-to-Default Basket CDS (Correct answer)
- Synthetic CDO equity tranche
- Credit-Linked Note
Correct answer: First-to-Default Basket CDS
A first-to-default basket CDS triggers a payout upon the first default among the reference entities in the basket, giving concentrated protection at lower cost.
Under IFRS 9, which stage classification applies to financial assets that have experienced a significant increase in credit risk since origination but have not yet defaulted?