Confidence Intervals and Estimation Flashcards
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A 95% confidence interval for a population mean is (42.1, 47.9). Which interpretation is correct?
Answer: We are 95% confident the population mean falls between 42.1 and 47.9.
A confidence interval means we are 95% confident (in the procedure) that the interval captures the true population mean.
Which condition must be verified before constructing a one-sample t-interval for a mean when n = 15?
Answer: The population distribution is approximately normal or the data show no strong skew/outliers.
For small samples (n < 30), the nearly normal condition must be checked via a dotplot or boxplot.
A researcher uses a 99% confidence level instead of 95% for the same data. What happens to the interval?
Answer: It becomes wider.
Higher confidence requires a larger critical value (z* or t*), which increases the margin of error and widens the interval.
The margin of error in a confidence interval for a proportion is 0.04. If the sample size is quadrupled, the new margin of error is approximately:
Answer: 0.02
Margin of error is proportional to 1/√n, so quadrupling n cuts the margin of error in half.
A confidence interval for a proportion is calculated as (0.58, 0.72). What is the sample proportion p̂?
Answer: 0.65
The sample proportion is the midpoint of the interval: (0.58 + 0.72)/2 = 0.65.
Which of the following would NOT reduce the margin of error in a confidence interval?
Answer: Increasing the confidence level from 95% to 99%.
Increasing the confidence level raises the critical value, which increases (not decreases) the margin of error.
For a one-sample z-interval for a proportion, the standard error is calculated using which formula?
Answer: √(p̂(1-p̂)/n)
The standard error for a sample proportion uses the sample proportion p̂ in place of the unknown population proportion p.